There are a couple of NH meetings taking place this
afternoon, at Bangor and Wincanton.
In
fairness, they are not bad meetings (compared to the majority recently !) – and
if pushed, I could probably have found a tip. However, I just don’t feel I
should be forcing things at the moment…
We’re in a strong position – and have a very busy period
on the horizon – issuing tips now, just for the sake of some action, seems a bit
silly.
Obviously, I’m still keeping a close eye on things – and
if a suitable opportunity does arise, I will strike.
And
I actually thought there was going to be an opportunity today…
First thing this morning, Zero Visibility (Bangor 2:55)
was a 7/1 shot – which was a price I would have been interested in.
However, the early market was very weak and extremely
volatile (7/1 with VC, 4/1 with WH) and I felt that I couldn’t really issue at
8:30…
I
hoped the market would settle on the longer price – but a couple of hours later,
4/1 is the best price available (admittedly with a NR).
I
think that’s about right – so the opportunity has gone…
Also
at Bangor, I was half interested in Silver Scotch in the handicap chase at
3:55.
However, there is quite a lot of guesswork – and whilst
6/1 is a fair enough price in theory, I don’t think it would be available if
connections really fancied him.
In
the handicap hurdle at 4:25, I could have been interested in Special
Wells.
He won well on his penultimate outing – but disappointed last time out at Doncaster
He won well on his penultimate outing – but disappointed last time out at Doncaster
However, my man on the track that day ( ;) ) informed me
that the horse finished the race distressed.
I
think he could be a well handicapped horse – but I don’t really want to take a
risk on a horse that might have some kind of physical issue (accepting that last time could just have
been a one off).
Over
at Wincanton, I could have been interested in The Game is a Foot, in the
handicap hurdle at 2:40.
He
was a bit unlucky 3 runs back – and also ran well last time out.
He
gets first time blinkers applied today, which would have made me really
interested – but stepping up 2 furlongs in trip and heavy ground, tempers that
enthusiasm.
The
purpose of the blinkers is presumably to make him race more enthusiastically,
but if he does that, he might very well not get home in the
conditions…
Atlantic Roller looks the one to beat in the handicap
chase at 3:10 – but the market is wise to that.
Worse still, his main dangers are directly behind him in the betting…
Worse still, his main dangers are directly behind him in the betting…
Finally, I would have liked to tip Risk a Fine in the
handicap chase at 3:40 – but I can’t…
I
think he has much more ability than a mark of 127 would suggest – however he is
an extremely head strong sort.
There is potentially an abundance of pace in todays race,
so that might give Dickie a chance to settle him.
That
said, I’m not sure he is currently settle-able, so it could just see him burning
out sooner !
He is maybe one you could consider playing in running, if the race pans out in a favourable way...
He is maybe one you could consider playing in running, if the race pans out in a favourable way...
Best
of luck if you do choose to get involved today.
TVB.
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