There are a couple of NH meetings this afternoon, at
Taunton and Southwell.
There’s nothing to get too excited about on either card –
and I suspect it will be like this most days now, until the end of the TVB
season (2 weeks tomorrow !).
That
said, there are still a couple of Saturdays to go – and indeed one or two
potentially interesting midweek meetings
– so hopefully we’ll get the opportunity to finish the season with a bit of a
flourish.
There won’t be much flourishing today however, as
opportunities are decidedly thin on the ground.
I
did consider tips in a couple of the later races on the Taunton card, but just
didn’t feel that the cases weren’t sufficiently compelling…
In
the handicap hurdle at 4:20, I was quite interested in The Road
Ahead.
She
was a general 8/1 shot early – 10/1 in a place – which was definitely
tempting.
However, I was concerned about the presence of a couple of unexposed sorts from big stables (The Chuckmeister and Border Breaker).
It’s interesting to see that she has been well backed (now 6/1 best), whilst Border Breaker in particular, in very weak.
However, I was concerned about the presence of a couple of unexposed sorts from big stables (The Chuckmeister and Border Breaker).
It’s interesting to see that she has been well backed (now 6/1 best), whilst Border Breaker in particular, in very weak.
In
truth, there is a fair bit of speculation about The Road Ahead – but she’s back
from a break, in a first time hood – and that looks an interesting move to
me.
Furthermore, her handicap mark looks exploitable – whilst
she is the only runner Peter Bowen has sent down to Taunton.
I
possibly should have pulled the trigger at 8:30 – but I didn’t, and now feel
we’ve missed the boat…
It’s
a similar story with the other one I was interested in at Taunton, Shy John in
the handicap chase at 4:50.
In
fairness, not tipping him was a more measured decision, as I didn’t feel there
was too much value in the 4/1, available at 8:00.
You
won’t beat 3/1 now – and that certainly holds limited appeal against some
potentially interesting rivals.
Certainly if either Pigpen Island or As De Fer re-find
their form, they are handicapped to win: whilst victory for Strawberry Hill,
Gunna be a Devil or Finish the Story, wouldn’t be a massive surprise…
There is little of interest on the Southwell
card.
In
the opener, I will be keeping an eye on Sea Current, who is a horse I’ve been
watching all season.
The
trouble is, he messed up his handicap mark by finishing close on the heals of
Vibrtao Voltat at Warwick a few runs back.
Maybe not too surprisingly, he has finished last on his 2
subsequent runs – but the handicapper has only relented to the tune of
7lb.
A
heavy defeat today, would likely see his handicap mark dropped significantly –
so with that potential carrot, I’d struggle to back him at short odds (even if I
do think he’s got the ability to hack up this afternoon !).
In
the following race on the card, Alpancho is the one of interest.
He’s
won well after a break in the past, so I could easily see him going in again
today.
That
said, there is a fair bit of guess work in involved - and 11/2 looks about the
right price.
Best
of luck if you do choose to get involved.
TVB.
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